Egor Gerasimov vs Linang Xiao Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Gerasimov winning 46.15% of points compared to Xiao's 44.58%.
• Question: Which player has a better return game on second serves recently?
  • Answer: Gerasimov leads, winning 47.28% of points on opponents' second serves versus Xiao's 43.18%.
• Xiao has a higher percentage of successful first serve returns at 28.09% compared to Gerasimov’s 25.09%.
• Under pressure, Gerasimov saves 64.23% of breakpoints, significantly better than Xiao's 51.26%.
• Over the last year, Xiao has a better overall match win percentage at 48.72% compared to Gerasimov’s 39.47%.
• Gerasimov excels on indoor hard courts with a career win rate of 61%, while Xiao prefers clay with a 62% win rate.
• Question: Which player tends to play at a higher event level?
  • Answer: Gerasimov usually competes at Challenger/ITF tournaments > $10K, while Xiao competes at Futures/Satellites $10K.
• In direct Head-to-Head, Gerasimov leads with a 1-0 record over Xiao, winning the last match in straight sets.
• Over the past year, Gerasimov and Xiao both won 50% of deciding sets they played.
• Both players have had limited exposure in extreme pressure scenarios, with no tiebreaks played between them.
• Recently, Gerasimov converts 35.21% of breakpoints, close to Xiao’s 35.94% conversion rate.
• The quality of opponents faced is quite similar for both, with Gerasimov’s average opponent rank slightly lower at 412.26 than Xiao’s 419.36.

Editorial Prediction (June 10, 2025, UTC):

In the upcoming match, both players demonstrate unique strengths, yet Gerasimov holds a slight edge in several areas.

Gerasimov's superior second serve performance and breakpoint courage provide a solid footing in tight scenarios. His performance against slightly higher-ranked opponents further underscores his capability in handling challenging encounters.

Conversely, Xiao showcases efficiency in converting first serve returns but must sharpen his match-winning consistency, despite having a better win-loss record recently.

Although both have shown equal ability in deciding set performances, Gerasimov's head-to-head win and surface preference might tip the scale in his favor.

Given these factors, Gerasimov is predicted as the more likely victor in this anticipated contest.